Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 85.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 84.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
9
(30 meetings)
21
9
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
1
Staal
Zibanejad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
4
Staal
Zibanejad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
4
Staal
Zibanejad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
50.1% (1,051)
+6.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
58.3% (120)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
41.9% (227)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
58.3% (705)
49.0% (681)
Away
53.3% (769)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
54.5%
49.9%
P2
58.2%
47.6%
P3
54.1%
51.1%
OT
60.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |