Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
53.8% (591)
+3.4%
Power Play
67.0% (88)
47.4% (38)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (187)
43.6% (117)
+0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
55.4% (518)
48.2% (307)
Away
55.7% (497)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
53.6%
54.0%
P2
56.6%
51.0%
P3
55.7%
50.6%
OT
65.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |