Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 87 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 156-122 in 278 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
156
-
122
(278 meetings)
156
122
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
53
44
Staal
Zibanejad
97 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
56
31
Staal
Zibanejad
87 total
Neutral Zone
Even
47
47
Staal
Zibanejad
94 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
50.9% (11,756)
+5.0%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
52.2% (1,852)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
41.6% (1,796)
+6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
56.4% (9,699)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
55.2%
50.4%
P2
55.9%
49.7%
P3
54.8%
49.9%
OT
56.2%
48.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |