Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Bonino 51.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Staal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Staal
Bonino
Last 7: Staal 3-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Staal
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
51.7% (777)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
60.0% (50)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
43.9% (98)
+5.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Staal
Bonino
Home
59.0% (578)
48.2% (461)
Away
55.9% (707)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Staal
Bonino
P1
57.1%
54.1%
P2
60.9%
49.7%
P3
55.8%
50.7%
OT
20.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |