Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bonino 48.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 70.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 75.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 70.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Staal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Bonino
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Staal
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Staal
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
48.1% (324)
+8.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
57.9% (38)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
44.3% (88)
+7.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Staal
Bonino
Home
58.3% (705)
52.0% (244)
Away
53.3% (769)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Staal
Bonino
P1
54.5%
48.0%
P2
58.2%
42.9%
P3
54.1%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |