Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Bonino 50.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Staal
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Staal
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Staal
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Staal
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
51.8% (305)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
48.5% (101)
+3.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Staal
Bonino
Home
57.0% (646)
53.1% (177)
Away
59.1% (729)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Staal
Bonino
P1
55.9%
55.9%
P2
55.4%
49.6%
P3
62.0%
47.6%
OT
70.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |