Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Steel 52.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 61.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.6%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Staal
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Staal
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
56.9% (320)
+0.1%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
71.4% (7)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
37.0% (73)
+8.1%
On power play, Steel has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Staal
Steel
Home
54.3% (667)
55.9% (202)
Away
54.7% (662)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Staal
Steel
P1
56.2%
55.5%
P2
57.0%
55.1%
P3
49.7%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Sam Steel |