Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Steel 50.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 52.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 50.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Staal
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Staal
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
52.5% (200)
+3.7%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
71.4% (7)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
40.0% (45)
+2.7%
On power play, Steel has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Staal
Steel
Home
55.4% (699)
49.5% (109)
Away
54.4% (702)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Staal
Steel
P1
55.7%
49.5%
P2
54.7%
47.5%
P3
53.4%
56.6%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Sam Steel |