Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Zegras 43.3% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Staal
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Staal
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Staal
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
39.8% (128)
+19.1%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
22.2% (9)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
0.0% (1)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Staal
Zegras
Home
57.0% (646)
29.7% (74)
Away
59.1% (729)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Staal
Zegras
P1
55.9%
40.7%
P2
55.4%
35.1%
P3
62.0%
41.0%
OT
70.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |