Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Zegras 41.3% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Staal
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
36.5% (156)
+20.5%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
40.7% (27)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
0.0% (3)
+45.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Staal
Zegras
Home
54.3% (667)
38.9% (113)
Away
54.7% (662)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Staal
Zegras
P1
56.2%
40.0%
P2
57.0%
38.1%
P3
49.7%
31.6%
OT
68.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |