Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.3% vs Stastny 55.4% (-17.5%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 56.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Bailey
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (83)
59.2% (370)
-19.4%
Power Play
27.3% (22)
40.9% (44)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
51.7% (58)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Bailey shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Bailey
Stastny
Home
33.3% (48)
57.7% (215)
Away
43.5% (62)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Bailey
Stastny
P1
33.3%
57.7%
P2
47.2%
54.2%
P3
39.4%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%