Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Hayes 56.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 59.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Norris
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Norris
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Norris
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
56.6% (724)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
57.0% (79)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
65.7% (35)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Norris
Hayes
Home
50.7% (351)
58.0% (405)
Away
54.0% (278)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Norris
Hayes
P1
55.6%
54.7%
P2
49.3%
55.7%
P3
52.1%
60.2%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |