Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Hayes 42.7% (+14.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 50.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 59.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Norris
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
31.9% (91)
+18.6%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
64.3% (14)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Norris shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Norris
Hayes
Home
48.1% (233)
30.6% (49)
Away
51.6% (246)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Norris
Hayes
P1
53.1%
22.9%
P2
49.2%
40.0%
P3
48.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%