Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.4%). Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 67.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Norris
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Norris
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Norris
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
55.4% (345)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
50.0% (4)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
35.3% (17)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Norris
Kastelic
Home
53.6% (373)
50.6% (162)
Away
54.1% (394)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Norris
Kastelic
P1
61.8%
61.5%
P2
51.7%
52.8%
P3
49.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |