Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Norris 86.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Norris
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
49.2% (778)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
58.3% (12)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
44.0% (234)
+2.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Norris
Dowd
Home
50.7% (351)
46.3% (492)
Away
54.0% (278)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Norris
Dowd
P1
55.6%
49.1%
P2
49.3%
48.2%
P3
52.1%
46.9%
OT
42.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.1%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%