Justin Dowling vs Tomas Nosek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Nosek holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 49.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (-14.1%)
Offensive zone Dowling 56.3%
Defensive zone Nosek 55.2%
Neutral zone Nosek 57.9%
Result Tomas Nosek favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dowling Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
52.0% (102)
-18.7%
On even strength, Nosek has a +18.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Dowling shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Dowling
Nosek
Home
100.0% (1)
52.0% (50)
Away
0.0% (2)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Dowling
Nosek
P1
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
43.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%
Nosek
56.0%
50.0%
47.4%