Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Zacha 46.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 71.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Hayes
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayes
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
45.3% (247)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
58.1% (31)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
22.2% (18)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Zacha is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zacha
Home
50.8% (313)
39.7% (131)
Away
48.2% (363)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Hayes
Zacha
P1
52.3%
42.9%
P2
47.7%
46.4%
P3
48.4%
42.3%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |