Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 87.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 52.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 72.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Hayes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Hayes
Kuraly
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
1
Hayes
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Hayes
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Hayes
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
52.3% (982)
-9.6%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
41.9% (43)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
39.2% (245)
+6.0%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kuraly
Home
43.5% (232)
50.3% (680)
Away
42.4% (375)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Hayes
Kuraly
P1
40.1%
49.5%
P2
44.8%
49.6%
P3
42.4%
49.0%
OT
80.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |