Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-15.3%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Hayes
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
52.6% (464)
-20.7%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
100.0% (1)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.5% (155)
-46.5%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kuraly
Home
30.6% (49)
55.9% (322)
Away
40.4% (57)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Hayes
Kuraly
P1
22.9%
55.9%
P2
40.0%
46.7%
P3
44.4%
50.7%
Final 5 min
30.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%