Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs MacLean 44.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 69.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 72.9%
Neutral zone
MacLean 52.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Stenlund
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stenlund
MacLean
Last 8: Stenlund 4-4 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
MacLean
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
2
Stenlund
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
2
Stenlund
MacLean
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
42.4% (238)
+12.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
75.0% (4)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
20.0% (5)
+24.1%
On power play, MacLean has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Stenlund shoots right. MacLean is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Stenlund
MacLean
Home
50.7% (402)
41.4% (128)
Away
52.0% (433)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Stenlund
MacLean
P1
56.5%
49.3%
P2
52.4%
41.6%
P3
45.2%
37.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
51.4%
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |