Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs MacLean 47.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 50.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 89.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 64.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Stenlund
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stenlund
MacLean
Last 10: Stenlund 6-4 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
2
Stenlund
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
2
Stenlund
MacLean
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
47.2% (852)
+8.1%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
62.5% (8)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
56.7% (30)
-6.3%
On power play, MacLean has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. MacLean is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Stenlund
MacLean
Home
54.3% (1,873)
46.9% (429)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Stenlund
MacLean
P1
56.2%
46.4%
P2
53.3%
49.7%
P3
53.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |