Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.6% vs MacLean 47.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacLean 55.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 60.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Stenlund
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stenlund
MacLean
Last 10: Stenlund 6-4 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
2
Stenlund
MacLean
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
2
Stenlund
MacLean
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (2,588)
47.0% (837)
+8.1%
Power Play
51.4% (109)
62.5% (8)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (855)
56.7% (30)
-6.6%
On power play, MacLean has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Stenlund is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,669).
Stenlund shoots right. MacLean is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Stenlund
MacLean
Home
53.8% (1,736)
46.7% (424)
Away
53.7% (1,816)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Stenlund
MacLean
P1
56.3%
46.3%
P2
53.0%
49.1%
P3
52.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |