Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs MacLean 48.5% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 55.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.7%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 76.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Stenlund
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stenlund
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
MacLean
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
MacLean
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
47.6% (540)
+11.0%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
66.7% (3)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
60.9% (23)
-0.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. MacLean is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Stenlund
MacLean
Home
58.6% (548)
47.6% (273)
Away
59.7% (506)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Stenlund
MacLean
P1
60.2%
45.5%
P2
59.1%
48.8%
P3
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
59.1%
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |