Kevin Stenlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 65.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Stenlund 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
45.4% (527)
+12.8%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
41.2% (17)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
44.9% (138)
-2.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.6% (261)
46.1% (336)
Away
52.8% (265)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.4%
49.1%
P2
51.5%
45.3%
P3
52.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |