Kevin Stenlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 61.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 58.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 63.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 68.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (797)
50.3% (479)
+8.3%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
50.0% (28)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
60.5% (233)
30.0% (50)
+30.5%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Stenlund shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.6% (548)
48.9% (270)
Away
59.7% (506)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.2%
48.7%
P2
59.1%
50.0%
P3
58.3%
47.3%
OT
58.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
58.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
59.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |