Kevin Stenlund vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 84.9%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 61.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stenlund 8-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
6
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
0
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (2,588)
44.9% (8,714)
+10.2%
Power Play
51.4% (109)
50.3% (829)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (855)
37.8% (875)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stenlund is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,669).
Stenlund shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.8% (1,736)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
53.7% (1,816)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Stenlund
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.3%
45.1%
P2
53.0%
43.8%
P3
52.3%
45.2%
OT
54.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |