Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Lorentz 49.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 59.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 61.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Stenlund
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
51.4% (74)
+4.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.0% (2)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
42.3% (26)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
56.9% (483)
52.9% (68)
Away
52.5% (526)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
54.2%
58.6%
P2
53.2%
45.0%
P3
56.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |