Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.5%). Stenlund wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.0% vs Lorentz 51.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 65.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 55.1%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Stenlund
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (500)
56.7% (60)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (243)
40.0% (10)
+10.6%
On power play, Stenlund has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
55.5% (346)
55.6% (54)
Away
51.7% (437)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
54.4%
57.9%
P2
51.7%
55.2%
P3
54.8%
47.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.4%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |