Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 72.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.0%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 53.7%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Stenlund
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
48.3% (497)
+9.9%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
63.6% (11)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
38.5% (39)
+3.5%
On power play, Lorentz has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
53.6% (261)
50.4% (238)
Away
52.8% (265)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
55.4%
49.1%
P2
51.5%
48.0%
P3
52.9%
47.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.2%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |