Kevin Stenlund vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.6% vs Lorentz 48.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 68.5%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Stenlund
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (2,588)
49.1% (1,111)
+6.0%
Power Play
51.4% (109)
48.0% (25)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (855)
41.3% (75)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,669).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
53.8% (1,736)
50.8% (595)
Away
53.7% (1,816)
46.6% (616)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
56.3%
52.8%
P2
53.0%
47.4%
P3
52.3%
46.3%
OT
54.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.7%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |