Kevin Stenlund vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 53.9% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 56.5%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 89.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 76.8%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Stenlund
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
1
Stenlund
Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (2,738)
48.9% (1,125)
+6.4%
Power Play
52.6% (116)
50.0% (26)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (924)
41.8% (91)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Stenlund shoots right. Lorentz is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Lorentz
Home
54.3% (1,873)
50.6% (609)
Away
53.8% (1,905)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Stenlund
Lorentz
P1
56.2%
53.0%
P2
53.3%
46.7%
P3
53.0%
46.2%
OT
52.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |