Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Frost 46.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 52.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 91.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Eller
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eller
Frost
Last 8: Eller 6-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
5
2
Eller
Frost
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
45.6% (833)
+8.2%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
46.0% (100)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
55.6% (18)
-3.0%
On power play, Eller has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Eller
Frost
Home
56.4% (486)
47.0% (440)
Away
51.2% (537)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Eller
Frost
P1
55.1%
42.5%
P2
55.3%
47.9%
P3
51.7%
46.6%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
53.7%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |