Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Frost 56.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 90.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 69.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Eller
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
56.0% (755)
+0.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
60.1% (173)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
88.9% (9)
-37.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Eller
Frost
Home
52.6% (215)
57.3% (497)
Away
58.3% (307)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Eller
Frost
P1
54.1%
60.2%
P2
57.6%
56.0%
P3
56.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
60.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |