Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Johnston 50.1% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 59.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 61.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Carlsson
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Carlsson
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Carlsson
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
50.7% (552)
-16.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
61.5% (13)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
43.5% (69)
-3.5%
On power play, Johnston has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Johnston
Home
38.6% (254)
50.3% (342)
Away
31.6% (307)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Carlsson
Johnston
P1
35.9%
54.4%
P2
33.8%
47.2%
P3
34.3%
49.4%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
34.8%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |