Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 46.0% vs Johnston 48.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 53.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 51.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Carlsson
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Carlsson
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Carlsson
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (533)
47.2% (458)
-0.1%
Power Play
46.3% (80)
50.9% (55)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
33.8% (80)
51.6% (31)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Carlsson is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Carlsson shoots left. Johnston is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Johnston
Home
44.4% (340)
47.7% (243)
Away
46.5% (353)
47.8% (301)
By Period
Carlsson
Johnston
P1
48.2%
48.0%
P2
38.4%
48.2%
P3
50.5%
48.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.5%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |