Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 95.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 80.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 95.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
3
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
3
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
45.5% (1,190)
+11.9%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
56.4% (94)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
40.0% (30)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Home
56.4% (734)
47.8% (670)
Away
57.5% (717)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
P1
55.6%
45.3%
P2
62.1%
48.5%
P3
52.4%
45.0%
OT
61.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.9%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 04:26 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |