Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 87.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 69.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 79.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
0
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
49.2% (1,266)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
54.9% (193)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
49.1% (55)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Home
55.2% (636)
50.9% (740)
Away
53.4% (560)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
P1
50.8%
50.9%
P2
56.6%
51.8%
P3
54.0%
47.1%
OT
67.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
54.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |