Leon Draisaitl vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.5% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 63.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (672)
49.1% (825)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.9% (186)
65.4% (130)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
34.5% (29)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Draisaitl shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
Home
54.4% (454)
52.6% (489)
Away
57.9% (439)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Draisaitl
MacKinnon
P1
55.2%
50.3%
P2
54.8%
52.6%
P3
57.9%
49.2%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |