Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 52.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 53.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Draisaitl
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Draisaitl
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
59.2% (370)
-6.6%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
40.9% (44)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
51.7% (58)
-2.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Draisaitl shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Stastny
Home
55.5% (816)
57.7% (215)
Away
51.4% (845)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Draisaitl
Stastny
P1
51.1%
57.7%
P2
51.6%
54.2%
P3
56.9%
57.7%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
53.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |