Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Stastny 56.3% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 51.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 59.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Draisaitl
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
57.5% (412)
-5.1%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
60.0% (65)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
44.4% (9)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Stastny
Home
54.5% (778)
58.3% (276)
Away
55.3% (692)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Draisaitl
Stastny
P1
54.6%
63.7%
P2
56.1%
57.3%
P3
53.3%
50.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
54.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%