Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 48-44 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 55.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 59.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 52.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Draisaitl
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
44
(92 meetings)
48
44
Draisaitl
Stastny
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
14
18
Draisaitl
Stastny
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
25
6
Draisaitl
Stastny
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
20
Draisaitl
Stastny
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (10,077)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.7% (2,785)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (972)
52.9% (1,119)
-1.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,795).
Draisaitl shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Stastny
Home
54.6% (6,995)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.8% (6,839)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Draisaitl
Stastny
P1
52.6%
56.3%
P2
53.5%
55.4%
P3
53.2%
53.5%
OT
57.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
53.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |