Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cooley wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.3% vs Roy 47.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 57.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 85.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 66.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Cooley
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cooley
Roy
Last 6: Cooley 4-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
3
1
Cooley
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (632)
48.6% (679)
-4.5%
Power Play
46.3% (108)
48.0% (50)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (20)
34.7% (49)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Cooley has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Cooley is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Cooley shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Cooley
Roy
Home
46.4% (418)
49.3% (345)
Away
42.7% (342)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Cooley
Roy
P1
44.3%
47.6%
P2
45.6%
47.1%
P3
44.0%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
44.7%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |