Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 43.4% vs Roy 53.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 75.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 85.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Cooley
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cooley
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (254)
53.9% (449)
-13.0%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
53.3% (30)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.3% (78)
-1.3%
On even strength, Roy has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Cooley is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Cooley shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Cooley
Roy
Home
38.3% (133)
54.9% (293)
Away
43.4% (189)
51.9% (264)
By Period
Cooley
Roy
P1
39.0%
55.0%
P2
48.4%
51.7%
P3
34.4%
53.7%
Final 5 min
35.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
41.3%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |