Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Cooley wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.1% vs Roy 51.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cooley 80.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 83.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cooley
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cooley
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (421)
51.9% (547)
-8.4%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
54.1% (37)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
53.3% (92)
+3.8%
On even strength, Roy has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Cooley is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Cooley shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Cooley
Roy
Home
45.0% (240)
54.0% (328)
Away
43.3% (270)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Cooley
Roy
P1
44.1%
53.5%
P2
48.8%
51.6%
P3
37.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |