Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cooley wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 42.0% vs Roy 48.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Cooley leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 65.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 93.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 82.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Cooley
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Cooley
Roy
Last 10: Cooley 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
4
1
Cooley
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cooley
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
1
0
Cooley
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (1,520)
48.9% (3,621)
-7.8%
Power Play
44.7% (208)
49.3% (276)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
44.9% (463)
-3.0%
On even strength, Roy has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Cooley is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (655).
Cooley shoots left. Roy is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,208).
Home / Away
Cooley
Roy
Home
41.9% (883)
49.5% (2,186)
Away
41.1% (888)
47.4% (2,174)
By Period
Cooley
Roy
P1
41.3%
51.0%
P2
43.1%
46.1%
P3
39.5%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
46.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |