Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 44.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Donato 46.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 52.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 55.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Rossi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rossi
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Rossi
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
44.4% (180)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
43.2% (37)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
40.0% (5)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Rossi
Donato
Home
46.8% (385)
45.4% (97)
Away
42.6% (364)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Rossi
Donato
P1
42.8%
36.2%
P2
43.9%
48.6%
P3
47.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
37.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.7%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |