Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Donato 47.1% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 58.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 58.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 62.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Rossi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rossi
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
46.8% (297)
+4.8%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
41.0% (39)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
100.0% (1)
-63.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Rossi
Donato
Home
50.0% (260)
45.8% (142)
Away
49.2% (244)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Rossi
Donato
P1
53.7%
49.5%
P2
47.6%
45.7%
P3
47.4%
43.4%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |