Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.5% vs Donato 45.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 66.4%
Defensive zone
Donato 51.7%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Rossi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rossi
Donato
Last 8: Rossi 2-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Rossi
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (2,023)
44.4% (1,096)
+2.2%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
46.3% (240)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
36.4% (11)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Rossi is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,454).
Rossi shoots left. Donato is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Rossi
Donato
Home
47.1% (1,122)
47.7% (708)
Away
45.6% (1,129)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Rossi
Donato
P1
47.0%
43.5%
P2
44.5%
45.4%
P3
47.6%
44.4%
OT
47.8%
77.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |