Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Donato 44.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 69.3%
Defensive zone
Donato 54.1%
Neutral zone
Donato 55.6%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Rossi
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rossi
Donato
Last 9: Rossi 3-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Rossi
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rossi
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
44.0% (1,218)
+2.8%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
46.0% (248)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
41.7% (12)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Rossi
Donato
Home
47.8% (1,225)
47.2% (743)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Rossi
Donato
P1
47.1%
43.8%
P2
44.7%
44.9%
P3
48.2%
43.7%
OT
45.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |