Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (+4.9%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 67.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Jankowski
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
55.2% (625)
+3.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.1% (7)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
38.2% (220)
+5.1%
On power play, Jankowski has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Dowd
Home
54.7% (128)
53.7% (445)
Away
56.3% (215)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Jankowski
Dowd
P1
54.5%
48.8%
P2
56.5%
49.3%
P3
56.2%
54.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
55.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.8%