Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.7%). Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 62.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 65.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Jankowski
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Jankowski
Dowd
Last 10: Jankowski 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
7
1
Jankowski
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Jankowski
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
6
9
Jankowski
Dowd
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,490)
52.3% (6,036)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
56.1% (164)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (534)
44.1% (1,638)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jankowski is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,570).
Jankowski shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Dowd
Home
51.8% (1,961)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
49.1% (2,158)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Jankowski
Dowd
P1
49.8%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
50.4%
P3
50.3%
50.3%
OT
20.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:13 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |