Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Dowd 48.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 92.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 64.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 72.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Jankowski
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jankowski
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
1
Jankowski
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
51.0% (671)
+2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
41.5% (224)
+12.8%
On power play, Jankowski has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Dowd
Home
53.2% (331)
48.2% (471)
Away
54.2% (284)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Jankowski
Dowd
P1
52.7%
48.3%
P2
55.8%
46.8%
P3
52.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |