Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Nosek 53.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 51.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.1%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Kastelic
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kastelic
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kastelic
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
55.1% (557)
+1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.7% (111)
+52.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Nosek
Home
54.8% (73)
52.3% (342)
Away
63.8% (47)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Kastelic
Nosek
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
62.5%
53.8%
P3
60.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
58.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |