Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.1% vs Nosek 48.5% (+12.3%)
Offensive zone
Nosek 62.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 75.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kastelic
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (362)
52.0% (102)
+8.8%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
100.0% (2)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
56.2% (146)
29.0% (31)
+27.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Kastelic shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Nosek
Home
60.3% (242)
52.0% (50)
Away
59.2% (272)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Kastelic
Nosek
P1
58.9%
45.0%
P2
57.3%
42.0%
P3
64.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
66.4%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%